Pre-tourney Rankings
Bowling Green
Mid-American
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#126
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#155
Pace65.3#229
Improvement+2.1#83

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#154
Improvement+1.0#116

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#107
Improvement+1.1#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 311   Howard W 63-48 94%     1 - 0 +0.6 -6.8 +9.1
  Nov 13, 2011 105   @ Georgia L 54-63 31%     1 - 1 -1.1 -12.6 +11.2
  Nov 21, 2011 212   Austin Peay W 82-72 80%     2 - 1 +4.0 +0.3 +3.1
  Nov 22, 2011 119   Detroit Mercy W 67-61 61%     3 - 1 +6.0 -9.9 +15.7
  Nov 23, 2011 167   George Washington L 56-77 73%     3 - 2 -24.5 -11.7 -15.2
  Nov 27, 2011 35   Temple W 67-64 33%     4 - 2 +10.2 +7.2 +3.5
  Dec 04, 2011 188   @ Western Kentucky L 53-60 54%     4 - 3 -5.1 -18.9 +14.1
  Dec 10, 2011 144   @ Valparaiso L 79-82 41%     4 - 4 +2.0 +6.2 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2011 3   @ Michigan St. L 60-74 4%     4 - 5 +8.8 -0.6 +9.4
  Dec 22, 2011 231   @ Florida International W 61-53 62%     5 - 5 +7.6 -8.6 +16.6
  Dec 28, 2011 114   @ Duquesne L 76-86 34%     5 - 6 -2.9 +5.0 -7.9
  Jan 01, 2012 171   @ Texas San Antonio L 79-86 OT 49%     5 - 7 -3.9 -5.3 +2.5
  Jan 07, 2012 71   Ohio W 67-57 48%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +13.4 -1.5 +15.0
  Jan 11, 2012 73   Akron L 55-56 48%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +2.4 -10.2 +12.5
  Jan 14, 2012 116   @ Kent St. L 87-92 34%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +2.0 +13.1 -10.9
  Jan 18, 2012 189   @ Miami (OH) W 65-57 54%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +9.9 -1.8 +12.5
  Jan 21, 2012 103   Buffalo L 66-68 56%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -0.7 -4.9 +4.1
  Jan 25, 2012 247   Central Michigan W 71-58 85%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +4.6 +7.0 -0.1
  Jan 28, 2012 250   @ Eastern Michigan L 50-55 67%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -6.8 -13.7 +6.4
  Feb 01, 2012 175   @ Western Michigan W 72-48 50%     9 - 11 4 - 4 +26.9 +5.9 +23.4
  Feb 04, 2012 317   Northern Illinois W 65-40 94%     10 - 11 5 - 4 +9.7 -1.2 +15.7
  Feb 08, 2012 201   @ Ball St. W 61-54 55%     11 - 11 6 - 4 +8.5 -5.0 +14.2
  Feb 11, 2012 197   Toledo W 66-63 78%     12 - 11 7 - 4 -2.3 -2.9 +0.9
  Feb 15, 2012 71   @ Ohio L 59-72 24%     12 - 12 7 - 5 -2.7 -5.2 +2.1
  Feb 18, 2012 203   Morehead St. W 73-60 78%     13 - 12 +7.6 +10.4 -0.6
  Feb 22, 2012 73   @ Akron L 68-79 24%     13 - 13 7 - 6 -0.8 +5.1 -6.6
  Feb 25, 2012 116   Kent St. W 74-58 60%     14 - 13 8 - 6 +16.2 -0.2 +16.1
  Feb 29, 2012 189   Miami (OH) W 56-51 77%     15 - 13 9 - 6 +0.1 -4.6 +6.1
  Mar 03, 2012 103   @ Buffalo L 64-68 31%     15 - 14 9 - 7 +4.1 +1.6 +2.0
  Mar 05, 2012 247   Central Michigan L 53-54 85%     15 - 15 -9.4 -13.6 +4.0
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%